In the USA, the proportion of deaths from pneumonia, influenza, or COVID-19 has continued to say no since early September, in response to the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention (CDC). Seasonal influenza exercise within the US stays low, CDC stated in its weekly US influenza surveillance report.
Nevertheless, a cautious take a look at the CDC knowledge raises many essential questions and likewise casts doubt on the entire variety of reported coronavirus instances. Up to now, 8, 322, 814 instances of COVID-19 have been confirmed within the US, in response to the most recent knowledge from Johns Hopkins College.
Now let’s dig deeper into the CDC knowledge. Throughout the identical interval final 12 months, the CDC was reported to have obtained 1251 instances of flu in weeks 40 to 41. The quantity is common in comparison with earlier years. In 2020, nonetheless, the CDC solely reported a complete of 60 flu instances over the identical interval (desk under).
The query many individuals ask themselves is: does good hygiene practices like hand washing and social distancing have something to do with the sudden drop in flu instances? Or is it potential that sufferers could also be mistakenly recognized with COVID-19? May it even be that hospitals are reporting extra COVID-19 instances and fewer flu instances as a result of they obtain cash for each COVID-19 case reported to the federal authorities? No one is aware of precisely at this level. Nevertheless, from the CDC knowledge we all know that 1.2% of affected person visits had been reported at week 41, in comparison with the nationwide baseline of two.6%.
“At week 41, only one.2% of affected person visits nationwide reported by the US Outpatient Influenza-Like Illness Monitoring Community (ILINet) had been resulting from influenza-like sickness (ILI). This share is under the nationwide baseline of two.6%.Mentioned CDC.
As talked about earlier, the sudden drop in flu instances could also be associated to behavioral adjustments in the course of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is how the CDC defined it:
“Habits find well being companies has modified dramatically in the course of the COVID-19 pandemic. Whereas outpatient ILI exercise stays low, many individuals entry the healthcare system in various settings. “
Though the variety of flu instances has decreased, the proportion of deaths by week 41 has elevated by 1.5% (from a threshold of 5.7% to 7.2%), in response to the CDC.
“Based mostly on NCHS mortality monitoring knowledge accessible on October 15, 2020, 7.2% of deaths within the week ended October 10, 2020 (week 41) had been resulting from pneumonia, influenza and COVID-19 (PIC). This share is above the epidemic threshold of 5.7% for week 41. “