Phillip Stutts is the founder and CEO of the media firm Win Massive Media. Stutts has been watching politics for over 20 years. After 24 years and 1,283 marketing campaign victories, together with three profitable races for the US President, Stutts presents an unique evaluation of the upcoming elections and a breakdown of how he sees the race in the direction of election day. Its collapse shouldn’t be what you’ll learn within the mainstream media.
In his final submit on Medium, Stutts answered the query everybody asks: Who will win the presidential election on November third? As a part of this analysis, Win Massive Media partnered with the biggest information assortment, analytics, and AI firm in america to take a behind-the-scenes have a look at what is actually happening with American voters.
In contrast to conventional surveys, Win Massive Media makes use of its database of greater than 200 million Individuals, greater than 550 million linked gadgets, tracks greater than 10 billion on-line selections and greater than 1 trillion every day searches and compares them to all different exterior information and Survey. Armed with the information, Stutts believes he has a singular perspective on how that election will play out.
Stutts’ election evaluation contains 5 key highlights:
- Stand of the voters.
- The primary motivation to drive voters to the elections
- Voters are being misled in 3 ways.
- eight key elements that decide the selection
Stutts concluded his article with a prediction of what he thinks will occur on election day. He explains it beneath:
HERE’S WHAT HAPPENS:
I have been in politics for 24 years and been a part of 1,283 electoral victories. Right here is my prediction of the general vote, the winner of the referendum, and the winner of the electoral vote:
WHO WINS ON CRITICAL POLICY ISSUES? In our information, I see a giant turnaround in voters on the lookout for safety by ending the riots, funding legislation enforcement, rising the financial system – which grew at its quickest tempo in historical past in Q3 – and wanting one COVID. 19 vaccine. All of them want Trump. I see this not solely in white working class voters, but in addition in African American and Hispanic voters.
WHO WILL WIN THE BRAND WAR? The clear winner of what drives the model message is energy over weak spot. As talked about above, Trump has actually dedicated himself to his energy and heightened voters’ internal unconsciousness of looking for safety. These voters might maintain their noses and vote for Trump, however they know it’s going to make them safer.
SWING STATE OUTLOOK. The “Shy Trump Voter” is without doubt one of the least reported elements on this election. It was a incontrovertible fact in 2016 and has solely grown previously 4 years. For instance, do you assume a Pennsylvania suburban mom will inform a random ballot operator that she’s going to vote for Trump? No approach. She fears that if she explains her voice will probably be “uncovered” or worse, canceled. Robert Cahaly of the aforementioned Trafalgar Group believes Trump is underreported by 5 to 9% (in every of the key swing states). Whereas it could be that large, I count on it to be a further 2-5 factors over what we see in public polls. As well as, the Trump marketing campaign’s Get Out The Vote equipment is healthier than the Biden marketing campaign. So I consider it’s value an additional 1% level for Trump in these swing states. Given the “Shy Trump Vote” and the GOTV efficiency profit, right here is my prediction of the remaining litter situations:1. Biden will win Minnesota, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Maine’s solely election.
2. Trump wins Iowa, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona and Nebraska’s solely poll.
POPULAR VOTE WINNER: Joe Biden. Based mostly on the information I see, I forecast a complete of 156.9 million votes – a rise of greater than 18 million voters in comparison with 2016. Regardless of a decent marketing campaign, it is clear that Joe Biden will win the referendum, which is the large one A part of it’s owed to New York and California.
VOTE WINNER: Donald Trump. Trump wins Electoral Faculty 295 to 243.
Stuatts provides everybody FREE entry to all of our information and surveys (March, April, Might, June, July, August, September and October + our two information experiences / surveys that analyze client protest tradition) winbigmedia.com and click on on the “COVID-19 Shopper Analysis” tab. If you recognize somebody who might profit from these necessary insights, please ahead this text and / or information to them to be used at this essential second.